The massacres perpetrated by Hamas when it invaded Israel and the subsequent retaliatory attacks on Gaza sent chills throughout the world. In the face of so much display of ruthlessness, simply "you have to freeze" is one reaction in this region, which itself has been overwhelmed by all kinds of its own and other people's heartlessness.
Never, it seems to me, has the Middle East been closer to us than it is now. But not only because in his latest misfortune we recognize similarities with war crimes committed in these areas, insanity in the efforts to make some states come into being and others disappear, with the use of ethnic and religious differences as weapons for mass destruction, along with columns of fighters and fugitives.
Namely, the strategic circumstance that both regions are symbols of frozen conflicts brings us closer together. In the total complexity of that state, neither war nor peace - how to get to it, go through it and how to (not) get out of it.
Let's remind ourselves in the shortest way and with clear simplifications. The SFRY disintegrated when both internal and external interests for its disappearance prevailed, and to this day a high degree of mistrust still exists among some of its parts, whereby the international community labels the status of Kosovo absolutely and the dysfunctionality of BiH relatively as "frozen conflict".
Although that term came into use during the dissolution of the USSR, the Middle East "deserved" it as early as 1948. Then, on part of the territory of the former British Palestine, the state of Israel was created, which the Arab countries saw as a foreign body and immediately tried to push it out with wars. And then he, as the war winner, did not allow - contrary to the UN resolution - the parallel creation of the state of Palestine and the international regime for Jerusalem, keeping Gaza and the West Bank under occupation. Immediately before and between the three frontal conflicts, and definitely after them, it persists as a frozen conflict.
Their phenomenology is significantly more diverse than the depiction and specificity of the Western Balkans and the Middle East. The world order is in disarray, states the New York Times, and this disarray has exploded most violently in three zones of frozen conflicts in the last 18 months, turning them into war zones. The Hamas-Israel "case" followed on from the sufferings of Ukraine in the Russian aggression and in Nagorno-Karabakh, where the Azerbaijani army crushed the resistance of rebellious Armenians and caused their mass emigration to Armenia.
The combination of those three dramas fueled suspicions that, according to the "imitation theory", other "dormant hot spots" could flare up that could also push the world. These include the Asian quadrangle, with its nuclear potential: India's territorial disputes with Pakistan and China, Beijing's claims to annex Taiwan, Israel's and Iran's mutual missile threats, and North Korea's game of nerves with an arsenal of atomic bombs.
At the same time, the Korean peninsula stands out as a kind of "miracle". In the form of a truce, the frozen conflict there has been going on since 1953 and the tension between the two Koreas does not stop, yet both have reached the status of a power - the South as an economic power and the North as a nuclear power. Therefore, their model is partially recommended as suitable for the coexistence of irreconcilables.
However, all freezes are deceptive and impermanent. It is incomparably better to end the crises with a permanent peace agreement and the opening of possibilities for all-round cooperation. Like after the Second World War and the Cold War in Europe, whose Union asserted itself as the most peaceful community of states. Countries that are still frozen in conflict, such as Serbia, Georgia, Moldova, and Ukraine, which is now the scene of the biggest war in the recent history of the continent, also strive for membership.
The overall situation in the world has deteriorated so much that it looks a lot like a big frozen conflict, as it was, in essence, the Cold War, and the repetition of which looks like the current confrontations between the Western and Eastern permanent members of the UN Security Council. That privileged five practically disputes the status of great powers, because they should prove themselves not only by the absence of direct warfare between them, but also by actions in support of global peace, which they now undermine more often than strengthen it.
And the little ones often follow the irresponsibility of the big ones. Since the global order is collapsing, nations have swelled their ambitions and like tigers they are stalking their prey among its ruins, Chinese specialist Zheng Yongnian assesses. Frozen conflicts also appear within countries, so former British Prime Minister Gordon Brown, in an article in Foreign Policy, states that the number of civil wars in the world has increased to 55, secessionist movements to around 60, and physical barriers between countries to as many as 70.
The world we have created is obviously not very good, even for the health of the planet, and Henry Kissinger signs a text in Foreign Affairs, where he points out the danger, which, along with all the benefits, is represented by the spread of artificial intelligence. It calls for urgent action "before machines begin to achieve their own goals, which some experts predict will happen in the next five years."
But, maybe at least she will be able to stop the destructive action of artificial intelligence whose rule has turned the whole world into a frozen conflict. Which occasionally makes him bleed, but mostly by making him bleed even more.
And for us, the most important thing remains that our country is not left with a frozen conflict, nor that it is dangerously resolved. For that, we just need to apply the ecological principle of harmony with the environment. And which is already in the EU or on the way to it - unreservedly.
(novimagazin.rs)
https://novimagazin.rs/stav/306521-momcilo-pantelic-varljiva-zamrzavanja
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