If parliamentary elections had been held yesterday, the Democratic Party of Socialists (DPS) would have won power with the Bosniak Party (BS) and the Liberal Party (LP) even without the Social Democratic Party, which is also part of the ruling coalition at the state level.
This is shown by analyzes of local elections based on the number of mandates won and percentages derived. In the local elections in 12 municipalities, 315 voters had the right to vote, which is about 60 percent of the total electorate, which turned out in a smaller percentage compared to the parliamentary elections.
DPS won 12 mandates in 168 municipalities, SNP 77, DF 71, SDP 38, BS 31, Pozitivna seven, and LP two council mandates.
Nevertheless, one should have a big reservation regarding the conclusion that a coalition led by DPS could take power without SDP, which brings votes to the ruling coalition from the remaining, mostly coastal municipalities, where BS practically does not exist.
The relationship between SDP and BS will probably be the topic of analysis during the formation of post-election coalitions. In six municipalities, the government depends on the SDP. It is possible that DPS will form a coalition with BS in Rožaje, provided that the ruling party dismisses Nusret Kalač, which was already speculated about yesterday. BS could further form a coalition with DPS in Plav, where it ruled with SDP, while DPS in Bijelo Polje, where it was in power in the previous convocation, is enough for a BS councilor. The SDP could respond to that by forming alliances with the opposition in Kolašin, Pljevlja, Bar, Podgorica.
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