The abstainers who decided to vote the day before yesterday and the voters of the Democratic Party of Socialists (DPS) who are believers of the SPC, had a key influence on the election result, according to which Milo Đukanović's party does not have a majority to form the government after three decades.
This is shown by the first analyzes of the day before yesterday's parliamentary elections, in which even 76,65 percent of registered voters turned out, although all public opinion surveys - whether publicly published or those for party needs - showed that the turnout would not exceed 69 percent.
2016 percent of voters turned out for the 73 elections, which is about 43 fewer voters than the day before yesterday, while the turnout in 25.700 was even lower, 2012 percent.
In addition to the high turnout, this election result was decisively influenced by Đukanović's decision to adopt the Law on Freedom of Religion and the announcement of the creation of a party church.
As a result, DPS won about 15 thousand votes less than in the 2016 elections, which did not spill over to SD or SDP, while alliances led by the Democrats and especially DF significantly improved their result compared to the previous elections.
It can be concluded from this that part of DPS voters and at the same time SPC believers voted for the political structures led by Zdravko Krivokapić and Aleks Bečić.
In 1997, Amfilohije brought in Milo, and now Amfilohije has overthrown Milo, the interlocutor of "Vijesti" from DF commented briefly.
The third factor that influenced the result of the DPS is certainly numerous corruption scandals without an epilogue, the most significant of which is the "Envelope" affair.
It is possible that URA profited the most from this, whose campaign was focused on two messages - the fight against corruption and the fact that it will not make any post-election alliance with DPS.
The DPS with its traditional partners, in which Đukanović included the SDP, would not be able to reach the 41st mandate even if one of the two parties of the Croatian minority passed the census. In that case, as the first analyzes show, DPS would win 29 instead of 30 seats.
This perhaps shows that the party in decline this time was only focused on itself in an attempt to grab as many votes as possible, including loyal partners. If it were not so, electoral engineering could have boosted HGI or the Croatian Reform Party, similar to the 2016 elections, when HGI won votes in the villages of Pljeval and Beran.
According to SEC data, 143.548 voters voted for DPS the day before yesterday, so that party fell to 30 from 36 mandates in 2016, when it had the support of 158.450 voters.
The day before yesterday's result is by far the worst result since the split in 1997. An average of 160 to 165 voters regularly voted for that party.
On the other hand, the alliance led by the Democrats increased by two mandates, while the coalition led by the DF was strengthened by nine mandates.
Four years ago, the Democrats received the support of 38.327 citizens or 10,01 percent, while the day before yesterday, the alliance led by Bečić grew to 12,53 percent of support (51.297 votes).
In 2016, DF had 77.784 votes or 20,32 percent of support, while the coalition for the future of Montenegro grew to 32,55 percent (133.267 votes). In addition to the party led by Marko Milačić, the SNP and United Montenegro formed from Demos, which were part of the Ključ coalition in 2016, entered that coalition. The key was also URA, which yesterday won 5,53 percent of the votes (22.649).
Four years ago, 11,05 percent (42.925) of voters voted for the Ključ coalition.
For voters of civil parties, corruption is more dangerous for the state than the SPC
The distribution of votes in the civil, pro-Montenegro electorate clearly indicates that the majority of those voters see corruption and all the scourges for which the DPS is responsible as a greater threat to the state of Montenegro than the SPC. URA, which insisted on the story of corruption and crime, won 5 mandates yesterday with 5,53 percent of votes (22.649), while SDP rounded up 3,14 percent of voters (12.839). And while the SDP was now sending the message that it would not be with the DF, four years ago it was more vocal about the rule of law and the fight against corruption. At that time, that party had the support of 20.011, or 5,23 percent, and now, together with DPS, it can be considered the biggest loser of the election.
On the other hand, the corruption scandals could not harm the SD of Ivan Brajović, who won two mandates four years ago with 12.472 or 3 percent of the votes won. In the elections the day before yesterday, SD won more mandate with 26 percent support and about 4,1 more votes.
Bosniaks and Albanians strengthened
Unlike the political representatives of the Croatian minority who did not pass the census, support for Bosniak and Albanian parties increased compared to the 2016 elections.
Thus, 16.286 voters or 3,98 percent voted for BS the day before yesterday, which secured her an additional, third mandate. Four years ago, 12 voters voted for BS, which is 089 percent of support.
The Albanian List with 1,58 percent of support (6.488 voters), and the Albanian coalition Unanimous with 1,14 percent of votes (4.675) won the mandate the day before yesterday.
Four years ago, only one of the two Albanian coalitions passed the census – Forca-DUA-Albanska Alternative with 4.854 votes or 1 percent of support.
See more:
Download the app and follow the news
FOLLOW US ON
