Although the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) recently announced that this year, if the rest of the year is like the first ten months, will be the hottest in the last 130 years since air temperature has been systematically measured, meteorologist Branko Micev says that this has nothing to do with Montenegro.
"On the contrary, this year we had the opposite picture and unusual amounts of rain in the hottest period of summer and temperatures below the climatic norm for that period, so these data have little to do with us," says Micev.
He says that the year before last, in terms of the number of tropical days, was almost twice as hot as this year.
"The year before last, in 2012, we had 105 tropical days with a maximum daily temperature of 30 or more degrees. This year there were 66 such days. The average maximum daily temperature this year was 19,5 degrees, and the year before last it was 20,1 degrees Celsius. Apart from the lower temperatures, which in July the maximum daily temperature was one degree below the climatic norm, this summer is also remembered for the rain. In June, we had 84 percent more rain than usual, and in July, practically the hottest period of the year, the rain was 97 percent more than in 'normal' years. This clearly shows that this summer, and thus the year, was not even close to what could be called the warmest in 130 years," says Micev.
He says that even the usually warm September of this year, through the prism of temperature and rainfall statistics, was significantly cooler.
"This year, the ninth month was one degree colder than the climatic norm. And there was 150 percent more rain than the climatic norm. And when you look at the average for the period January-October, with which he calculates i
According to the World Meteorological Organization, last year and the year before last were warmer in Podgorica," says Micev.
Micev does not doubt the methodology and statistics of the VMO, but points out that the average can sometimes deceive.
"You know, if you look at the whole planet and get average values, it's like putting your head in the freezer and your feet in the oven and then taking the average temperature value. I don't doubt the seriousness of the big organization, but the thesis that this is the hottest year in the last 130 years has nothing to do with Montenegro," says Micev.
This autumn was atypical for us
Micev says that autumn, although usually colorful and unstable when it comes to climate, this year was atypical in terms of climatic extremes.
"November and December are the rainiest months in this area. In terms of total precipitation, November remained the same this year. However, these precipitations were not evenly distributed, so it seems to a person that almost the entire month of November was dry, and there was even too much rain on a few short occasions. Only on November 29, the former Republic Day, 24 liters of rain per square meter fell in 139 hours in Podgorica. That is almost half of the 300 liters that fell for the whole month. It is a daily record for November in the last 65 years," says Micev.
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