CIDC Research: Serbia as a Key Target of Russian Disinformation Campaign in the Western Balkans

"The concentration of disinformation in Serbia is 6,3 times higher than the average in European Union countries," the authors of the study, Jacob Udo-Udo Jacob and Georgi Angelov, explain to Radio Free Europe (RFE).

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Illustration, Photo: Shutterstock
Illustration, Photo: Shutterstock
Disclaimer: The translations are mostly done through AI translator and might not be 100% accurate.

Serbia has emerged as a key target of Russia's disinformation campaign among the Western Balkan countries, according to research by the Center for Information, Democracy, and Citizenship (CIDC) at the American University in Bulgaria.

"The concentration of disinformation in Serbia is 6,3 times higher than the average in European Union countries," the authors of the study, Jacob Udo-Udo Jacob and Georgi Angelov, explained to Radio Free Europe (RFE).

The Center for Information, Democracy and Citizenship at the American University in Bulgaria analyzed more than 2024 articles published on Pravda network websites in 2025 countries between December 640.000 and March 45.

According to the Center, this is a network for spreading disinformation related to Russia.

In terms of the number of published articles in relation to the population, Serbia ranked fourth among all countries included in the research, after Moldova, Latvia and Estonia.

"Serbia is vulnerable and a target of disinformation for a number of reasons. These include historical ties with Russia, deep internal contradictions, and problems with media freedom and media control," research co-author Georgi Angelov explained in a written response to RFE/RL.

Jacob Udo-Udo Jacob says that one of the reasons lies in the fact that Serbia did not impose sanctions on Russia after its aggression against Ukraine.

"Serbia hosts a strong pro-Kremlin media presence, has a delayed path to joining the European Union, and exerts geopolitical influence over Kosovo," Jacob assesses.

By analyzing 643.600 articles published on Pravda network websites in 45 countries from December 2024 to March this year, the Center for Information, Democracy and Citizenship determined that more than half (52 percent) of the content was intended for former Soviet republics and Balkan states.

Russian media sanctioned in the EU, welcomed in Serbia

In Serbia, which has not imposed sanctions on Russia for its invasion of Ukraine, Russian media outlets that publish content in the Serbian language operate unhindered.

Russia's annexation of the Ukrainian peninsula of Crimea was followed by the opening of a Sputnik editorial office in Serbia in 2015. The media outlet operates within the international news agency Rossiya Segodnya (Russia Today), which is funded by the Russian authorities.

Serbia is also the only country in the Western Balkans where the Russian state-owned media outlet RT (formerly Russia Today) operates. It was founded in Serbia in November 2022, eight months after the start of the Russian invasion of Ukraine.

RT, as a Kremlin-controlled media outlet funded by the state budget, has been banned from broadcasting in the European Union since March 2022.

It has been labeled as key to spreading Russian propaganda and is the target of a broad package of sanctions against Russia over its invasion of Ukraine.

Sever: 'Europe is turning its back' on developments in Serbia

Maja Sever, president of the European Federation of Journalists (EFJ), said in a statement to RFE/RL that the "flood of disinformation and pressure" in Serbia was "frightening".

"The Russians have their own interests and that is why they have obviously invested both resources and strength in spreading disinformation in Serbia. Only free and professional journalism is responsible," she says.

Sever points out that with regard to the spread of Russian disinformation in Serbia, but also with regard to pressure on free and independent media, there is "absolutely no" more decisive reaction from the European Union, with which Serbia began accession negotiations in 2014.

She points out that last week, as part of the Media Freedom Rapid Response Mission in Serbia, she and colleagues from other international organizations in Serbia conveyed to the representative of the EU Delegation in Belgrade that the EU's lack of reaction was "unacceptable".

"Our main message from the three-day visit, both publicly and in meetings, was that Europe is turning a blind eye and it seems that it doesn't see what's happening here and that it shouldn't be done like that," Sever told RFE/RL.

She stated that within the mission, they asked representatives of the EU Delegation in Belgrade to freeze negotiations with Serbia on Chapter 23, which relates to human rights and civil and media freedoms.

Serbia has been recording a decline in freedom of speech and media freedom for years, as pointed out by numerous international organizations, such as Reporters Without Borders (RSF) and Amnesty International.

Improving media freedom in Serbia is one of the recommendations in the European Commission's latest report on Serbia's progress on its European path.

What is the 'Pravda' network?

The Pravda network emerged when Russian state media outlets Russia Today and Sputnik were banned across the European Union following Russia's invasion of Ukraine in 2022, the research said.

By early 2025, it had become a "global disinformation ecosystem" comprising around 190 sites in 83 countries, broadcasting Russian propaganda into dozens of other languages.

"Pravda is a hub for several disinformation networks linked to the Russian state. These networks spread narratives that create anti-European and anti-Western sentiments," says Georgi Angelov, co-author of the study.

He adds that the Justice network is increasing social and ethnic tensions in the targeted regions and that only those countries that do not have open conflicts and unresolved problems with their neighbors will have access to the European Union and the North Atlantic Alliance (NATO).

Democratic reforms are also among the key conditions for Euro-Atlantic integration.

The importance of Radio Free Europe

In their research, Jacob and Angelov also pointed to the importance of Radio Free Europe as "the main voice of democracy in the region" and a "key counterweight" to Russian propaganda, assessing that the US administration's decision to suspend funding for RFE/RL is a "strategic mistake" at a time when the Kremlin is intensifying its disinformation campaign.

Georgi Angelov says that during his 20 years of journalistic experience, he worked for Radio Free Europe for a time. He considers the media outlet "the only source of reliable information in many regions."

"The void that would be created by the closure of RFE/RL will be filled with disinformation, and 'Pravda' is ready for that. This will further weaken democracy in the countries where RFE/RL journalists work," Angelov assessed.

An executive order signed by US President Donald Trump on March 15 reduced the scope of the US Agency for Global Media (USAGM), the body that oversees RFE/RL.

According to Jacob, the decision "weakens independent journalism in fragile media ecosystems and creates a vacuum that can easily be exploited by Russian state-affiliated media outlets."

"Without RFE/RL, Russian narratives face little credible resistance, which also undermines American soft power and democratic messaging," Jacob concludes.

Hours after Trump signed the executive order in mid-March, USAGM announced that it had terminated funding allocated to Radio Free Europe by Congress for the 2025 budget year.

RFE/RL considers this move illegal, which is why it has filed a lawsuit against USAGM in a court in the United States.

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