Media and analysts in the European Union (EU) see the possibility of disintegration and regime change in Tehran after the US strike on Iranian nuclear centers and compare it to the fall of the Argentine military dictatorship after the defeat in the Malvinas War, the overthrow of Slobodan Milosevic's government after the NATO bombing in 1999, as well as the severe defeat of Saddam Hussein after the invasion of Kuwait in 1991.
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The authority of Supreme Ayatollah Ali Khamenei has been shaken; he has already designated religious, state and military successors if he were to be assassinated, European media reported, citing the New York Times.
And they point out that US President Donald Trump has threatened the Islamic regime in Iran with even more severe attacks if, after striking three Iranian nuclear centers, it does not agree to a ceasefire and suspend its atomic bomb production program, but instead attempts to attack US bases in the region.
"But if they accepted such humiliation, the mullahs in power would provoke a revolt among the Iranian people, who are facing the difficult realization that the Islamic regime has not only isolated, impoverished and oppressed them, but is also incapable of defending the country," writes, among other things, the French newspaper Lezeco.
"The classic mechanism when a dictatorship suffers a military defeat is for the 'tsar to go', and this was seen in Argentina after the defeat in the Malvinas/Falklands, or in the case of Milosevic in 1999... although it is not exactly automatic, because Saddam Hussein temporarily survived his defeat in Kuwait," the Parisian daily adds.
Although he notes that "the regime's chance in Tehran is that there is no convincing political alternative, the opposition is all in exile, in prison or in the cemetery."
Some media outlets and analysts in the EU estimate that the region and Iran itself would descend into chaos if the shaken Islamic regime in Tehran were to fall from power, and warn that the Middle East and the world are on the verge of great uncertainty after the US military strike on Iran.
It is believed that the price of oil will undoubtedly increase, and the question is whether, after the American attack on Iranian nuclear centers, Iran will attack American bases in the region and block the Strait of Hormuz, which is important for global oil traffic, which would push the entire region into war and shake the entire world.
EU officials are again calling for a ceasefire and peace talks, French President Emmanuel Macron has called an emergency meeting of his national security council. Trump has declared that "Iran, the Middle East's powerhouse, must now commit to peace."
However, EU media outlets indicate that sources in Tehran have made it known that before the American bombing, all enriched uranium and necessary materials were withdrawn from the affected underground nuclear centers.
This claim may be supported by the fact that the International Atomic Energy Agency announced that no radioactive radiation was recorded at the three Iranian nuclear centers that were hit by American bombs.
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