No one is powerful enough to calm down or break Montenegrin criminal clans, so the rivalry between them will continue.
Among other things, this is written in the analysis of the organization Global Initiatives for the Fight against Organized Crime.
The authors of that report state that the members of the Kavački and Skaljar criminal clans were part of a larger criminal organization formed in 2010, but that there was a split after the notorious drug kingpin Darko Šarić fled the country: "Soon there were quarrels between the members, because there was no longer a clear hierarchy".
"Reconciliation after seven years of conflict is unlikely, especially when some of the assassinations were carried out in front of family members. Moreover, no one is powerful enough to pacify or break up the clans. The conflict will remain, but the number of murders will not increase due to their high cost - allegedly targeted strikes on rivals cost over a million euros. In addition, some of the main targets have already been killed. Those still at large or on the run will be more careful about movement and communication and invest more in protection. There is also the risk that hired assassins be killed to prevent their potential testimony in courts," the analysis said.
They add that the chances are high that the clans will be able to maintain their cocaine business and explain that it is a big business in which everyone has a role. Some members, he says, act as investors and provide funds to buy cocaine in South America, while other contractors and subcontractors are responsible for packaging, transporting and selling cocaine in Europe.
"Their advantage is a proven international logistics network for purchase and distribution... The cocaine business is a golden ticket that the skalar and blackjack clans will not give up. The supply and demand for cocaine is growing. Since it is profitable, the clans will continue the trade, blocking the emergence of others players. The lost resources will be compensated by new partnerships with other criminal groups or from their ranks, which are not negligible - it is estimated that the Skaljar and Kavac clans have 105 and 140 members, respectively," claim the authors of the text from the Global Initiative to Fight Organized Crime.
The organization estimates that the clans will continue to closely monitor political events and elect politicians who are ready to use their money for personal or political interests: "The recent violence in Ecuador may even help the clans strengthen their position in the drug trade."
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